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Table 3 Logistic regression models: socio-demographic predictors of child care type at 2 years and number of changes in care type since birth

From: Policy translation for early childhood education and care: the Growing Up in New Zealand approach

Antenatal dependent variables

2-year child care type

>4 changes in care since birth OR (95 % CI)

Model 1: Centre OR (95 % CI)

Model 2: Family OR (95 % CI)

Model 3: Nanny OR (95 % CI)

Model 4: Home-based OR (95 % CI)

Ethnicity

European

1.00

1.00

1.00

1.00

1.00

Māori

2.31 (1.67, 3.23) p < 0.0001

0.84 (0.54, 1.27)

0.32 (0.09, 0.79) p = 0.03

0.38 (0.21, 0.64) p = 0.0007

1.54 (1.03, 2.26) p = 0.03

Pacific

1.19 (0.84, 1.70)

2.19 (1.45, 3.28) p = 0.0002

0.14 (0.01, 0.65) p = 0.05

0.23 (0.09, 0.51) p = 0.001

1.11 (0.64, 1.85)

Asian

0.60 (0.46, 0.78) p = 0.0002

3.77 (2.77, 5.14) p < 0.0001

0.38 (0.16, 0.80) p = 0.02

0.45 (0.27, 0.72) p = 0.002

0.86 (0.55, 1.29)

Other

1.90 (1.17, 3.21) p = 0.01

0.35 (0.11, 0.86) p = 0.04

1.15 (0.47, 2.46)

0.42 (0.16, 0.91) p = 0.05

0.70 (0.29, 1.44)

Area deprivation

Low deprivation

1.00

1.00

1.00

1.00

1.00

Medium

1.06 (0.86, 1.30)

1.18 (0.87, 1.61)

0.74 (0.50, 1.07)

0.90 (0.66, 1.22)

0.94 (0.70, 1.28)

High deprivation

1.12 (0.88, 1.44)

1.44 (1.02, 2.03) p = 0.04

0.55 (0.30, 0.96) p = 0.04

0.69 (0.46, 1.03)

0.96 (0.67, 1.38)

Household income

Low

0.82 (0.60, 1.11)

1.07 (0.72, 1.57)

0.50 (0.18, 1.16)

1.82 (1.12, 2.92) p = 0.01

0.42 (0.25, 0.70) p = 0.001

Medium

0.97 (0.79, 1.19)

1.15 (0.87, 1.51)

0.46 (0.29, 0.72) p = 0.001

1.31 (0.96, 1.80)

0.85 (0.64, 1.14)

High

1.00

1.00

1.00

1.00

1.00

Maternal education

No formal qualifications

0.80 (0.46, 1.41)

1.54 (0.73, 3.03)

2.02 (0.86, 4.31)

0.74 (0.27, 1.72)

Secondary school or trade

1.04 (0.86, 1.25)

1.22 (0.94, 1.57)

0.53 (0.34, 0.79) p = 0.003

1.16 (0.87, 1.55)

0.93 (0.70, 1.22)

University

1.00

1.00

1.00

1.00

1.00

Maternal age (years)

<20

1.59 (0.74, 3.73)

0.75 (0.27, 1.82)

0.36 (0.10, 1.28)

1.20 (0.42, 2.94)

20–29

1.00

1.00

1.00

1.00

1.00

30–39

0.85 (0.69, 1.05)

1.12 (0.86, 1.48)

2.39 (1.34, 4.60) p = 0.005

1.03 (0.75, 1.42)

0.91 (0.68, 1.23)

>40

0.48 (0.31, 0.73) p = 0.0007

0.54 (0.22, 1.14)

3.45 (1.45, 8.16) p = 0.005

2.37 (1.31, 4.16) p = 0.003

0.74 (0.34, 1.43)

Parity

First-child

1.00 (0.83, 1.20)

1.12 (0.87, 1.44)

0.47 (0.32, 0.69) p = 0.0001

1.65 (1.25, 2.20) p = 0.0005

1.73 (1.32, 2.26) p < 0.0001

Subsequent child

1.00

1.00

1.00

1.00

1.00

Household structure

One parent living alone

1.29 (0.64, 2.81)

0.47 (0.11, 1.38)

1.14 (0.06, 6.61)

0.43 (0.07, 1.52)

3.76 (1.48, 8.74) p = 0.003

Two parents

1.00

1.00

1.00

1.00

1.00

Parent(s) + extended family

0.71 (0.56, 0.91) p = 0.005

1.92 (1.43, 2.55) p < 0.0001

0.79 (0.39, 1.47)

0.77 (0.50, 1.16)

1.12 (0.78, 1.58)

Parent(s) + other adults

1.02 (0.71, 1.48)

1.12 (0.68, 1.77)

0.85 (0.29, 2.00)

0.90 (0.49, 1.56)

1.38 (0.82, 2.23)

  1. Bold italics new significant predictor at 2 years (not associated at 9 months)
  2. Italics not significant by 2 years (associated at 9 months)
  3. Bold significant predictor at both 9 months and 2 years